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Carol Spieckermn contributes to Wall Street Journal




Wal-Mart Will Use Show to Test New Casual Lines

By KELLY NOLAN and KAREN TALLEY  July 9, 2008; Page B2B

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. is taking another step in its move back into the fashion world. However, unlike its splashy and unsuccessful previous attempt at upscale apparel, this time the retailer is playing it "casual."

On July 19, Wal-Mart plans to show its recently licensed children's and teen fashion brands at Fashion On The Square in San Francisco. The company will be the only retailer participating in what the event's organizers call "the largest outdoor runway fashion extravaganza on the West Coast."

Despite the flashy promotional tag, Wal-Mart says it is not trying to make a big splash at the event. Even though this event is believed to be the first fashion showing of its new styles -- l.e.i from Jones Apparel Group Inc. and Op from Iconix Brand Group Inc. -- the company said it is participating as a community service.

"We're taking time out to help a good cause, supporting those who want to build careers in the industry [as well as education programs that the event is meant to aid] before getting back to what we do best: Working hard to bring families great prices on apparel brands they want," said Wal-Mart spokeswoman Linda Blakley.

This is a far cry from a couple of years ago when Wal-Mart was pitching tents in New York's Times Square as one of the industry's most prominent events, Fashion Week, was going on a few blocks away in Bryant Park. At that time, the company also cut an agreement to show 116 full pages of its fashions in Vogue magazine.

But the drive to be a destination for cutting-edge, higher-priced fashions flopped. Customers used to Wal-Mart's low-priced and more basic offerings didn't take to the approach, and the company acknowledged it overshot.

This time the apparel expected to be shown in San Francisco consists of the l.e.i junior jeans line and California surfer brand Op.
But even though these are both casual lines, more akin to what customers are used to, Wal-Mart is still antsy about its appearance.
The company -- involved in the show since November -- pulled out after a press inquiry, said Y'Anad Burrell, the show's creative director. 

The retailer said it had decided participating was not in the best interest of its branding strategy, Ms. Burrell said. But a few hours later, Wal-Mart was back in, according to Ms. Burrell.

Wal-Mart's Blakley declined to say whether the retailer did or didn't drop out of the showing and then come back in, but acknowledged that internal "discussions" did result from the media call. Wal-Mart felt press coverage might imply the retailer was making another attempt at high fashion. But that is not the case, Blakley said, adding, "That's not who we are. That's not what our customer expects from us."

Actually, analysts like Wal-Mart's choice to be in the show, saying the company's role could be part of a new fashion strategy that makes more sense for the retailer.

"With the economy being the way it is, shoppers are trading down," said Shawn Woodhull, a retail analyst for Wikinvest.com1. "By participating, Wal-Mart is trying to reach more people out there who want fashion at the right price."

Wal-Mart's clothing will be presented alongside designs from nine others, including street-wear label Apple Bottoms by Nelly. Chris March, a former participant in Bravo's "Project Runway" television show, will also appear.

Wal-Mart's move is "a great, second coming-out party - a way to show they are still trying to be relevant without going over the top," said Carol Spieckerman, president of newmarketbuilders, a retail strategy firm.

But Wal-Mart isn't completely shying away from higher-end fashion by name designers.

Norma Kamali, known for jersey-draped dresses, sleeping-bag coats and ensembles made from gray sweatshirt material, is creating a clothing line for Wal-Mart that is expected to roll out in 350 of Wal-Mart's 3,800 stores this fall.

More fashion-forward offerings may actually be in Wal-Mart's best interest. The company is building fewer stores in the U.S., so it must use what it has. That means a big name that usually provides higher profit margins than more general merchandise isn't a bad idea, analysts say.


Bad Penney

Carol Spieckerman contributes to Forbes

03.28.08

Last year, J.C. Penney had plenty to brag about. It beat annual earnings expectations, partnered with chic cosmetics retailer Sephora and introduced hip new brands, like C7P, from high-end denim designer Chip & Pepper.

Even more ambitious were plans for the roll-out of American Living, a private-label brand from a division of Polo Ralph Lauren. Penney's biggest launch ever, it would arrive in about half its stores in early 2008.

The retailer would open 250 new locations over the next five years, including its first store in Manhattan sometime in early 2009.

So much for ambition. Thanks to a weakening economy, lower consumer confidence numbers and softer sales, the retailer reported negative comparable-store sales for the last three months. The company pulled back on store growth plans in February, saying they would open only 36 stores this year instead of the 50 originally planned.

Friday, Penney lowered its first quarter profit forecast, saying it now anticipates net income of about 50 cents a share, down from its prior forecast for profit between 75 and 80 cents per share.

"We expect the continuation of a difficult environment over the course of 2008," said J.C. Penney Chief Executive Myron Ullman, in a statement.

As for the big brand plans, they're not helping--not in a tough economy. "Sephora [shops] within Penney's stores are definitely traffic drivers, but neither J.C. Penney nor Sephora have detailed how the profitability is split between stores," said Bill Dreher, a senior retail analyst for Deutsche Bank.

"As for American Living, its prices are 25% higher than all of Penney's other merchandise," Dreher points out. "In the consumer environment we're facing now, shoppers are trading down price points for purchases in apparel and home."

J.C. Penney began opening Sephora outlets in fall 2006, and today, about 70 Penney locations have the in-store boutiques. During the holiday season, Sephora boutiques were "one of the best-performing areas of the store," according to company spokeswoman Rebecca Winter.

Cosmetics and personal care, of course, are less subject to promotional margin pressure than other highmargin categories, such as apparel and home, observers say. Penney's problem is that only about 6% of its stores have a Sephora inside. Most of the company's new stores will have a Sephora boutique, Winter said. Still, this will bump up the percentage of stores with a Sephora shop to just 9%.  "As far as I can tell, Sephora has no material impact on profits or earnings," Dreher said.

American Living, which landed in 600 Penney stores in February, has also caused some concern among retail analysts. The brand, designed by the Global Brand Concepts division of Ralph Lauren, spans 40 home and apparel categories; in the long term, Penney's expects it be a billion-dollar idea, Winter said.

But Penney significantly discounted many items right after they arrived in stores, a move Winter said had been planned in advance. "Just about everything was marked down a minimum of 30% the week the program landed," said Carol Spieckerman, president of newmarketbuilders, a retail consulting firm. "I believe they are risking an early loss of credibility for a program that promised to build the top end of Penney's. Beyond that, they are providing early 'wait-to-buy' training for brand loyalists."

That is, if these potential brand loyalists ever figure out that the brand comes from Polo Ralph Lauren. The fact that the designer's name does not appear anywhere in the brand's name, merchandise or highprofile advertising could also hurt, Dreher said.

"It's two words right now, it's not a brand yet," Dreher said. "At this stage, I just don't believe consumers have any reason to buy it." Beyond that, the Ralph Lauren deal may prove a distraction from the real goal: selling more higher margin clothing and home goods. Based on consumer research, the company will have to upgrade its store experience significantly for consumers to believe American Living is a brand from Ralph Lauren, brand experts say.

J.C. Penney still ranks third, behind Macy's and Sears, in department-store customer loyalty, said Dr. Robert Pasikoff, founder and president of Brand Keys, a brand and consumer loyalty consultancy. "Despite everything J.C. Penney has done [in recent years] to upgrade [its] image, consumers haven't bought it yet," Pasikoff said. "They definitely don't think J.C. Penney has anything to do with Ralph Lauren."

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